Two Main Factors Forecasts Election Victory for Hillary Clinton

By FG Dullin | Nov 02, 2016 08:29 AM EDT

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Moody's Analytics, a model used to accurately predict winners in over nine US elections since Ronald Reagan (1980), sees Hillary Clinton as the victorious presidential candidate in 2016.

The aforementioned model calculated 332 electoral votes for Hillary Clinton, as opposed to Donald Trump's 206. There are two main factors that assured Clinton's victory according to Moody's Analytics - cheap gas and the previous Obama administration's high approval rating.

According to CNN Money's recent report, the twilight period of Obama's presidency has achieved a relative decrease in the gas price as well as an increase in real estate market value and the average American income. The intrinsic value of decreased gas price is relevant to all sectors of civil society, regardless of whether or not they own an automobile. Cheap gas roughly translates with good economy.

A similar account is also conveyed by Reuter's Raw Story.  State-level economic conditions and political history have placed Hillary Clinton in a favorable position for the 2016 US elections.

As far as political history goes, incumbent US president Barack Obama and the Democratic Party reaped their best performance since 2009. Despite the public's natural confidence in the Democratic Party, the model does not take into account the personalities of the competing candidates.

Hillary Clinton is a natural choice in the 2016 US election due largely in part of her political party's esteem. It is worth mentioning, however, that the initial public opinion about Hillary Clinton was nearly overshadowed by another left-leaning presidential candidate - the Democratic nominee Bernie Sanders.

It was widely believed that she needed the help of the Vermont senator's supporters in light of her very controversial email hacking fiasco. Nonetheless, there are only 6 more edgy days before America finally declares its very own 45th president.

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